I receive many questions via email every single day but my #1 most asked question is…
How long do you think it will take for me to make money with my business?
Here’s another common permutation of this same question…
I need to be able to make money in 6 months, can it be done?
And finally my favorite…
Can I expect to make 100K in the first year with my online store like you did? One year ought to be enough runway right?
So here’s the truth.
Brand new entrepreneurs are horrible at predicting how far they can get with their businesses in the short term.
In fact, they often grossly overestimate how much money they can make in their first year. But on the flip side, they also grossly underestimate how much they can make in 3+ years with their businesses as well.
So anytime a reader or a student asks me any of the above questions, I immediately start to question their commitment and how serious they are about starting a real business.
Why? It’s because when someone asks me how much they can make in 6 months, it usually means that they are only willing to stick it out for 6 months to see if their business idea has a chance. This is not enough time!
Starting A Business Requires Long Term Thinking
Starting a business takes commitment. And I don’t mean a year or a few years. When I say commitment, I’m talking about giving it a go for at least 3-5 years.
When my wife and I started our online store, we were in it for the long haul. Although we set a goal to make 100K before the baby arrived, we were ready to work at it and keep the store afloat indefinitely until we got the formula correct.
If we didn’t have this mentality, we might have quit at 6 months because sales were not where we wanted them to be.
We weren’t convinced that the store could ever make enough money to supplant my wife’s income.
We didn’t believe that our market was large enough. We didn’t think that we could crack the first page of search to get the necessary traffic.
What’s funny is that we started our online store with this delusion of grandeur that our business would start making decent money within the first 3 months. After all, we had what we thought was a fool proof strategy.
Our initial plan was to siphon away EBay customers by posting auctions online and steering them over to our online store through links in the auction description.
Then, we would roam the wedding forums and guide customers over to our shop by making recommendations to would-be brides.
But what ended up happening is that we violated EBay’s terms of service and got our account suspended for posting external links on auctions. Furthermore, we repeatedly got banned on the wedding forums for being overly promotional.
There are no shortcuts. You have to be in it for the long haul. If you are wondering whether you can start making money right away because you are in a desperate situation, then chances are you lack the resolve to see your business idea through.
Estimating Time And Human Nature
But here’s what is interesting about human nature. When my wife and I reached our goal of making 100K during the end of our first year of business, we were overjoyed. But at that point we didn’t think we could do it again.
We didn’t think that our business could possibly grow any more. From our perspective, the business had peaked! After all, it was a major struggle for us to reach that number in the first place because it involved so much legwork and a little bit of luck. In fact, we didn’t think that we could achieve the same sales pace ever again.
What we didn’t realize was that the first year was just the tip of the iceberg. Every year since then, our business has increased in the double and triple digits! Never in a million years did we think that this could happen.
Which brings me to reiterate my second point.
As humans, we often overestimate what we can accomplish in the short term, but we vastly underestimate what can be done in the long run.
When I first started MyWifeQuitHerJob.com, I was hoping to start making significant money within a year of launch. Even though I started my blog with a 5 year plan towards profitability, I full on expected to be making at least 5 figures by the end of year 1.
But in reality, it wasn’t until well into year 3 when I started to see hockey stick growth. Today, the blog is practically growing on autopilot.
When I first launched my Create A Profitable Online Store course, I was only hoping to sign on about 30 students. But today, I have over 10X that amount and the course’s growth continues to surprise me!
Setting The Right Expectations
The key to running any successful business is to set the right expectations and the right level of commitment.
When my wife and I began our online store in 2007, we full on planned to still be in business in 2012. When I started my blog in the end of 2008, I full on planned to still be blogging 5 years later.
When I launched my “Create A Profitable Online Store” course in 2011, I made a long term commitment to continuously add content to the course for many years to come.
Even though the course started out with practically no content, today I have well over 40 hours of video in the course and a 400 page PDF ebook to show for it. And the best part is that the course will continue to grow and evolve!
Most people quit their businesses within their first year. If you aren’t willing to devote at least 3-5 years to your business, don’t even bother. Why? Because most of the wealth and the profits are to be had well after your first year.
Expecting your business to be vastly profitable within a short time frame is a half assed way to think about your business. Let’s be realistic. During the first year of any online business, your website is probably not going to have superior search engine placement. Your business probably won’t have a large customer base. Your business probably won’t have much name recognition.
It takes time for word of mouth to spread. It takes time for things to snowball. Looking back at my blog, I didn’t think that I was getting anywhere at all after year 1. But after doing this for 4 years now, I look back and am completely amazed at how far I’ve come.
Change Your Mindset
Here’s the biggest problem that I see with most people. They expect to make a significant amount of money in under a year and then they give up when they don’t reach their goal. I’ve had several students in my course give up early and even had an extremely talented student give up on his online store after just 6 months!
The first year is going to be tough and the most awkward. After all, you know nothing during your first year. Even if you have a great mentor or teacher, you still may not be able to absorb everything right away. So you’ll make mistakes…but that’s fine!
That first year is also when you’ll be having the most fun because you’ll be learning a heck of a lot. Year 1 should not be your end game. Instead, you should treat year 1 as your learning year and expect to reap the rewards in the years ahead.
One of the most unfortunate aspects of human nature is that we all love shortcuts. We all love to believe that we can strike it rich in just 6 months. Don’t get me wrong. It’s still possible to make a good chunk of change during your first year but you should go into it expecting to commit at least 3-5 years.
Striking A Balance
The key to finding the right business to pursue is to avoid randomly pulling yourself in all directions at once. Don’t throw up a bunch of websites, give them a go for 6 months as a trial and then take them all down because they aren’t working out.
You should go into every business venture with at least a 3-5 year time frame in mind. Are you still going to want to be running this business in 3-5 years? If you don’t think you’ll be able to maintain your interest for that long, then don’t even bother.
What you want to avoid is starting over every 6 months. If this is happening to you, then you aren’t committed and you are calling it quits without giving your business a chance to grow into something bigger.
Remember, most of the profits for your business are going to occur after 3-5+ years so make sure that you pick something that are willing to maintain for at least that long.
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